Potential beef industry benefits from increased uptake of genetic
evaluation technologies in New Zealand
Paul Charteris , Stephen T. Morris and Dorian J. Garrick
Institute of Veterinary, Animal
and Biomedical Sciences
Massey University
Executive Summary
Increasing the rate of genetic advance for sale live weight within
bull-breeding herds in one year (from 1.5 to 2.0 kg/year) can increase
accumulated profitability of individual commercial beef cattle producers
by $344.
Increasing the rate of genetic advance for sale live weight within
bull-breeding herds in one year (from 1.5 to 2.0 kg/year) can increase
beef industry profitability by $670,000 (net of costs relating to
research and extension to increase technology uptake)
Increasing the proportion of bulls selected for sale live weight
from 70% to 80 or 90% increased beef industry profitability by $408,000
and $1,852,000 respectively.
Further benefits can arise through encouraging other breeding practices
such as an increased adoption of crossbreeding.
Introduction
Genetic
improvement provides potential to improve profitability of beef
cattle farming in New Zealand. A small proportion of beef cattle
(4%) are located in registered herds where genetic selection occurs.
Most beef cattle are managed in commercial herds where bulls are
purchased from bull-breeders, thus genetic advance within bull-breeding
herds is disseminated to commercial herds. Within commercial herds,
progeny are harvested at processing plants. Accordingly, industry
genetic change is dictated by the direction and rate of progress
achieved in the registered herds and realised by the beef returns
less costs achieved at the processing plant. Genetic progress is
achieved by choosing the better individuals to use as parents of
the next generation. This requires definition of the attributes
that constitute a better individual. The image (stolen from
Scott Newman) shows the flow of genes down through an industry and
financial reward via payment for value back up through an industry.
Areas which will enhance beef industry profitability
through genetic improvement include:
- Enhancing the rate of genetic advance for economically important
traits within bull-breeding herds.
- Increasing the use of objective measures in bull purchase decisions.
- Increasing awareness and adoption of other modes of genetic
improvement such as across-breed selection, planned crossbreeding
programmes.
- Capitalising on significant advances made as part of a previous
Meat New Zealand-funded research programme.
Analysis
Potential industry benefits from increased uptake
of genetic evaluation technologies were analysed by modelling
the potential impact of genetic improvement on beef product flows
in New Zealand.
Breeding objective development
An economically-based breeding objective was developed
to derive economic values for increased live weight in beef cattle.
In essence this breeding objective was based on a farm biological
and economic model. Biological factors included in the model included
cattle live weights, feed requirements, annual mortality, culling
and heifer replacement rates. Model economic inputs included such
parameters as the cost of pasture management, transport, and marketing
of beef cattle as well as returns of each class of cattle.
In essence, a (sophisticated) farm budget was prepared
and beef cattle traits in this budget were adjusted to assess the
potential impact of genetic improvement on farm profitability. This
breeding objective was based on a straightbreeding programme in
which British breed (Angus and Hereford) steers were sold for harvest
at 300 kg carcass weight at 20 months of age in a self-replacing
beef breeding cow herd.
Economic Values were derived on a per cow basis
to estimate the likely impact of genetic change on profitability
of an example beef cattle herd. Discounted gene flow techniques
were used to model income over a number of generations from a single
round of selection. Details of the breeding objectives model and
analysis of beef industry flows are available on request from the
authors.
The potential financial impact of increased uptake
of genetic technologies was modelled through consideration of the
following scenarios:
- Effect of improved rates of genetic progress on beef cattle
farmer profitability
- Effect of impact of improved genetic progress on beef industry
profitability
- The potential impact of increased adoption of Estimated Breeding
Values in selection decisions on beef industry profitability.
Results
The potential impact of improved rates of genetic
progress within bull-breeding herds on beef cattle farmer profitability
are shown in Table 1. The model farm was assumed to comprise 200
beef breeding cows. Financial benefits are in net present values
(discounted over a 20 year time horizon) accruing from one years
selection for sale live weight in bull-breeding herds. A time horizon
for investment over 20 years is appropriate to track the flow of
genes over generations.
Table 1: Sensitivity analysis of change in farm
profit (accumulated over a 20-year time horizon) for change in rate
of annual genetic progress for sale live weight. Dollars are in
Net Present Values.
| Rate of genetic
gain for live weight
(kg sale live weight / year) |
Herd financial
benefit ($/herd) |
Financial benefit
($/cow) |
| 1.0 |
$ 687 |
$ 3.4 |
| 1.5 |
$ 1032 |
$ 5.2 |
| 2.0 |
$ 1376 |
$ 6.9 |
| 2.5 |
$ 1719 |
$ 8.5 |
Table 2: Sensitivity analysis of change in beef industry profit
(accumulated over a 20-year time horizon) resulting from four rates
of annual genetic progress for sale live weight (LWT). Dollars are
in Net Present Values.
| Annual
rate of genetic change (kg LWT/year) |
Class
of cattle |
TOTAL
|
|
Cows |
Steers |
Heifers |
| Prime
|
Proc
|
Prime
|
Proc
|
Prime
|
Proc
|
| 1.0
|
$21,640
|
$43,280
|
$690,600
|
$282,500
|
$362,300
|
$148,200
|
$1,548,520
|
| 1.5
|
$32,460
|
$64,930
|
$1,036,000
|
$423,800
|
$543,500
|
$222,300
|
$2,322,990
|
| 2.0
|
$43,280
|
$86,570
|
$1,381,000
|
$565,000
|
$724,600
|
$296,400
|
$3,096,850
|
| 2.5
|
$54,110
|
$108,200
|
$1,726,000
|
$706,300
|
$905,800
|
$370,500
|
$3,870,910
|
Table 2 shows financial benefit to the New Zealand beef industry
from increased rates of genetic change in sale live weight over
a 20-year time horizon. Dollar benefits are in net present values
and represent financial benefit from one round of selection (i.e.
one years worth of selection) that accrue due to higher carcass
weights of a bulls progeny and progeny in subsequent generations.
Account was made of increased feed demand in breeding cows as results
from an increase in mature live weight as a correlated response
to selection on sale live weight. It was assumed that the annual
rate of genetic gain was applicable to 70% of bulls sold annually.
Table 3: Sensitivity analysis of change in beef
industry profit (accumulated over a 20-year time horizon) resulting
from four levels of uptake of Estimated Breeding Values for one
year of bull purchases for sale live weight (LWT). Dollars are in
Net Present Values.
| Proportion
of registered cattle selected for LWT |
Class
of cattle |
TOTAL |
|
Cows |
Steers |
Heifers |
|
Prime |
Proc |
Prime |
Proc |
Prime |
Proc |
| 70
|
$ 21,640
|
$ 43,280
|
$ 1,381,000
|
$ 565,000
|
$ 724,600
|
$ 296,400
|
$ 3,031,920
|
| 80
|
$ 49,470
|
$ 98,940
|
$ 1,578,000
|
$ 645,700
|
$ 828,100
|
$ 338,800
|
$ 3,539,010
|
| 90
|
$ 55,650
|
$ 1,113,000
|
$ 1,776,000
|
$ 726,500
|
$ 931,700
|
$ 381,100
|
$ 4,983,950
|
| 100
|
$ 61,830
|
$ 1,237,000
|
$ 1,973,000
|
$ 807,200
|
$ 1,035,000
|
$ 423,500
|
$ 5,537,530
|
Table 3 shows the increase in beef industry profitability resulting
from an increased rate of uptake of using EBVs as a sire selection
tool. It was assumed that selection response among herds using EBVs
was 2.0 kg in sale live weight per annum and that herds not selecting
sires on the basis of EBVs were not applying selection pressure
for live weight traits.
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